Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2554
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
G4 2554 · RFD → PGD
departs 10:20 AM CT · arrives 2:17 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave RFD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at RFD that day
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
RFD (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.96 in
PGD (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.39 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.