G4 2576 · BGR → PGD

departs 11:07 AM ET · arrives 2:39 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PGD?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from BGR are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

BGR (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

PGD (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2576 · BGR → PGD

Odds over time

How late will it get to PGD?