Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2636
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 2636 · TUL → PIE
departs 8:04 PM CT · arrives 11:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±2 pts
−26 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −26 pts in 24h
−26 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −16 pts in 24h
−16 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at TUL that day
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
TUL usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TUL (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.64 in
PIE (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.