Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2637
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 2637 · PIE → TOL
departs 7:20 AM ET · arrives 9:41 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at TOL more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TOL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at TOL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TOL?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PIE that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
7am departures from PIE are usually not late
Weather at each end
PIE (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
TOL (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 5,300 ft Visibility 8.4 mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.