G4 2645 · TTN → PIE

departs 11:14 AM ET · arrives 1:49 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PIE?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PIE that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ TTN is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TTN

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

TTN (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

PIE (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2645 · TTN → PIE

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIE?