Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2652
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 2652 · IND → PIE
departs 9:20 PM ET · arrives 11:37 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
−25 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −25 pts in 24h
−25 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into PIE at that hour are often late
↓
IND usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IND (origin)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling 10,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.02 in
PIE (destination)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.