Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2686
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 2686 · PIE → IAG
departs 5:07 PM ET · arrives 7:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at IAG more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
−25 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −25 pts in 24h
−25 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at IAG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAG?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PIE that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
IAG usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PIE (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
IAG (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.