Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2687
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
G4 2687 · TVC → PIE
departs 9:40 AM ET · arrives 12:34 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±1 pts
−20 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −20 pts in 24h
−20 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave TVC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PIE that day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at TVC that day
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↓
TVC usually runs smoothly
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
TVC (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.28 in
PIE (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.