Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 268
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
G4 268 · PBI → AVL
departs 4:29 PM ET · arrives 6:23 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at AVL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to AVL?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PBI that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at AVL
Weather at each end
PBI (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.02 in
AVL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.