G4 270 · FLL → AVL

departs 9:59 AM ET · arrives 12:02 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AVL?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip1.37 in

AVL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 270 · FLL → AVL

Odds over time

How late will it get to AVL?