Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2730
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
G4 2730 · BLV → JAX
departs 4:49 PM CT · arrives 7:51 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Sun 10/4 46%
Odds over time
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave BLV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at JAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JAX?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 44% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
4pm departures from BLV are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
BLV usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BLV (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 2,100 ft Visibility 8.2 mi Precip 0.04 in
JAX (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.