G4 2739 · SFB → PIT

departs 5:03 PM ET · arrives 7:31 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFB

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ 5pm departures from SFB are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SFB (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIT (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2739 · SFB → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?