Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 274
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
G4 274 · LAS → BLI
departs 8:49 PM PT · arrives 11:28 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 30%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at BLI more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BLI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at BLI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BLI?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from LAS are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
BLI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
BLI (destination)
Gusts 3 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.