Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2764
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
G4 2764 · JAX → BLV
departs 2:56 PM ET · arrives 3:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at BLV more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BLV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at BLV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BLV?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into BLV at that hour are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
JAX usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
JAX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 2,800 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.09 in
BLV (destination)
Gusts 23 kt
Ceiling 2,100 ft
Visibility 8.2 mi
Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.