Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2815
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
G4 2815 · SFB → ALB
departs 5:07 PM ET · arrives 7:52 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at ALB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ALB?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↑
5pm departures from SFB are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFB
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
SFB usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
ALB (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.