Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2819
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 2819 · GUF → XNA
departs 4:57 PM CT · arrives 6:37 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave GUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at XNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to XNA?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, 0.9 in of rain forecast at XNA that day
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at GUF
↓
XNA usually runs smoothly
↓
GUF is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
GUF (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
XNA (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.20 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.