Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2846
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 2846 · MYR → MDT
departs 6:34 PM ET · arrives 8:08 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MDT more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave MYR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at MDT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDT?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDT
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MYR (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip none
MDT (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.