Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2895
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
G4 2895 · EVV → SFB
departs 8:16 PM CT · arrives 11:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±2 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave EVV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into SFB at that hour are often late
↓
EVV usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFB
Weather at each end
EVV (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 10,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
SFB (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.