G4 2913 · CKB → SFB

departs 2:49 PM ET · arrives 4:56 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SFB?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 50% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFB

↑ Arrivals into SFB at that hour are often late

↓ CKB is quiet at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CKB

Weather at each end

CKB (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

SFB (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2913 · CKB → SFB

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFB?