Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2914
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 2914 · PGD → SDF
departs 6:22 PM ET · arrives 8:34 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
−10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at SDF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to SDF?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SDF
Weather at each end
PGD (origin)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
SDF (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.