Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2924
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 2924 · XNA → SFB
departs 7:27 PM CT · arrives 10:51 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±1 pts
−19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −19 pts in 24h
−19 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −16 pts in 24h
−16 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −15 pts in 24h
−15 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFB at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
XNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
XNA (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.20 in
SFB (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.