G4 2934 · SFB → CKB

departs 11:58 AM ET · arrives 2:12 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at CKB more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CKB?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFB

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ CKB usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CKB

Weather at each end

SFB (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.11 in

CKB (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2934 · SFB → CKB

Odds over time

How late will it get to CKB?