Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2956
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 2956 · SFB → TRI
departs 12:52 PM ET · arrives 2:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at TRI more than 15 minutes late?
29%
chance · ±0 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
29%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TRI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 29% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at TRI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TRI?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from SFB are often late
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TRI
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
TRI (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.