G4 2964 · SFB → SHV

departs 6:36 AM ET · arrives 7:55 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at SHV more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SHV?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from SFB are usually not late

Weather at each end

SFB (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SHV (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2964 · SFB → SHV

Odds over time

How late will it get to SHV?