Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2967
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 2967 · TRI → SFB
departs 3:22 PM ET · arrives 4:56 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±0 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave TRI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into SFB at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TRI
Weather at each end
TRI (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 6 mi Precip none
SFB (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.