G4 2977 · SRQ → AVL

departs 6:32 AM ET · arrives 8:24 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure

Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to AVL?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 12% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from SRQ are usually not late

Weather at each end

SRQ (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

AVL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2977 · SRQ → AVL

Odds over time

How late will it get to AVL?