Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2998
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
G4 2998 · SRQ → SBN
departs 1:56 PM ET · arrives 4:26 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SBN more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SBN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at SBN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SBN?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SRQ that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at SBN that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
SBN usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SRQ (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
SBN (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.52 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.