Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3006
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 3006 · CVG → SRQ
departs 3:32 PM ET · arrives 5:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±0 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at SRQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SRQ?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at SRQ that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
SRQ usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG
Weather at each end
CVG (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SRQ (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.