G4 3019 · SRQ → LCK

departs 6:11 AM ET · arrives 8:27 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure

Arrive at LCK more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LCK?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SRQ that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from SRQ are usually not late

Weather at each end

SRQ (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

LCK (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 3019 · SRQ → LCK

Odds over time

How late will it get to LCK?