G4 3042 · TYS → PGD

departs 7:05 PM ET · arrives 9:04 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PGD?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ TYS usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS

Weather at each end

TYS (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PGD (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 3042 · TYS → PGD

Odds over time

How late will it get to PGD?