G4 3151 · AZA → FNT

departs 4:15 PM MT · arrives 10:58 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at FNT more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to FNT?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at FNT that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ FNT usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AZA

Weather at each end

AZA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FNT (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.33 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 3151 · AZA → FNT

Odds over time

How late will it get to FNT?