Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3169
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 3169 · FNT → PGD
departs 4:55 PM ET · arrives 7:47 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
−16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −16 pts in 24h
−16 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave FNT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −17 pts in 24h
−17 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 31 kt forecast at PGD that day
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at FNT that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
FNT usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FNT (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.33 in
PGD (destination)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.