G4 3211 · PVU → HOU

departs 4:32 PM MT · arrives 8:44 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at HOU that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PVU

↓ This flight has been late 7% of the time recently

Weather at each end

PVU (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.73 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 3211 · PVU → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?