G4 3216 · AZA → COS

departs 7:52 AM MT · arrives 10:35 AM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at COS more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to COS?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Gusts to 30 kt forecast at COS that day

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

AZA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

COS (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 3216 · AZA → COS

Odds over time

How late will it get to COS?