G4 336 · BNA → SYR

departs 11:35 AM CT · arrives 2:51 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at SYR more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SYR?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from BNA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Arrivals into SYR at that hour are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

SYR (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 336 · BNA → SYR

Odds over time

How late will it get to SYR?