G4 402 · ELM → MYR

departs 6:44 PM ET · arrives 8:42 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MYR?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into MYR at that hour are often late

↓ ELM usually runs smoothly

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi forecast at MYR that day

Weather at each end

ELM (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.04 in

MYR (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 402 · ELM → MYR

Odds over time

How late will it get to MYR?