Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 404
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 404 · CVG → PIE
departs 7:30 AM ET · arrives 9:40 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PIE that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
PIE is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG
Weather at each end
CVG (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PIE (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.