Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 407
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 407 · FLL → CVG
departs 9:34 AM ET · arrives 12:07 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
51%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 59% · changed +49 pts in 24h
+49 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
51%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 18% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 2.25 in
CVG (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.