Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 419
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
G4 419 · CVG → PBI
departs 4:42 PM ET · arrives 7:04 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
63%
chance · ±0 pts
+24 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
63%
Leave 15+ late
46%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +24 pts in 24h
+24 pts
63%
Yes 63%
No 37%
Leave CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Arrive at PBI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to PBI?
On time or early
33%
15–30 min late
33%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 40 kt, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 2.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PBI that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CVG (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PBI (destination)
Gusts 40 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 2.39 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.