Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 428
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 428 · PGD → CVG
departs 8:10 PM ET · arrives 10:27 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 46%
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±1 pts
−13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PGD (origin)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
CVG (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.