Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 448
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 448 · AUS → DSM
departs 2:01 PM CT · arrives 4:12 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?
66%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
66%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
11%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 66% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at DSM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
How late will it get to DSM?
On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day
↑
2pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
AUS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.69 in
DSM (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.38 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.