G4 488 · FLL → SWF

departs 6:31 AM ET · arrives 9:23 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at SWF more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SWF?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from FLL are usually not late

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip2.30 in

SWF (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 488 · FLL → SWF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SWF?