G4 492 · PBG → FLL

departs 6:41 PM ET · arrives 9:56 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 47% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ PBG is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

PBG (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,900 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts33 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip2.25 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 492 · PBG → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?