Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 494
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
G4 494 · SWF → FLL
departs 10:28 AM ET · arrives 1:37 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
20%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave SWF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1.0 in of rain forecast at FLL that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SWF
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
SWF (origin)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 4,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 24 kt
Ceiling 3,700 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.70 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.