Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 501
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
G4 501 · FLL → MDT
departs 2:23 PM ET · arrives 5:08 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Thu 10/1
Odds over time
Arrive at MDT more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±6 pts
+19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at MDT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to MDT?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDT
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 1.37 in
MDT (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.