G4 511 · TTN → FLL

departs 6:40 PM ET · arrives 9:24 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
8%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 33 kt, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.9 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TTN

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

TTN (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling4,400 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts33 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.87 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 511 · TTN → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?