Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 513
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 513 · LEX → FLL
departs 3:06 PM ET · arrives 5:26 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
59%
Arrive 1h+ late
31%
Cancelled
11%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 65% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave LEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 57% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
28%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 33 kt, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LEX
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LEX (origin)
Gusts 23 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 33 kt
Ceiling 1,500 ft
Visibility 1 mi
Precip 2.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.