Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 531
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
G4 531 · FLL → CAK
departs 4:15 PM ET · arrives 6:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at CAK more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±0 pts
+19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
58%
Arrive 1h+ late
31%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +23 pts in 24h
+23 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Arrive at CAK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to CAK?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
4pm departures from FLL are often late
↓
CAK usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.14 in
CAK (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.