Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 534
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
G4 534 · FLL → BNA
departs 6:16 PM ET · arrives 7:29 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/7 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±2 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
27%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1.2 in of rain forecast at FLL that day
↑
6pm departures from FLL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 3,929 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.24 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.