G4 53 · CID → LAS

departs 12:40 PM CT · arrives 2:03 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at CID that day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ CID usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CID (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.82 in

LAS (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 53 · CID → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?